6 Jul · 21:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YS
🇺🇦Yevhenii Sokoltsov
ELO 1454
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kobets
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1522
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Sokoltsov covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Kobets
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H26-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-20)