6 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Solomko
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H66-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.