6 Jul · 16:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1415
FormLWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Khandetskyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Khandetskyi
ELO 1504
FormWLLWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ishchyk🌟Ishchyk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Khandetskyi
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H9-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)