6 Jul · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1531
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Regush
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1500
FormWLWLW
53%
47%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.