7 Jul · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇺🇦Roman Gnoevoy
ELO 1536
FormWLWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1590
FormWWLLL
44%
56%
🌟Gnoevoy covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H38-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-36)