6 Jul · 13:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolbasenko
AY
🇺🇦Artem Yurkov
ELO 1630
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H25-36
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.