7 Jul · 06:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DU
🇺🇦Danylo Us
ELO 1460
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kim
DK
🇺🇦Dmitriy Kim
ELO 1506
FormLWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Us goes over total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Kim
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H7-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+46)