6 Jul · 23:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1512
FormWWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Alieksieev
OA
🇺🇦Oleksandr Alieksieev
ELO 1576
FormWWWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Alieksieev
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)