6 Jul · 14:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1575
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Troyan
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Troyan
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H12-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.