6 Jul · 09:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1456
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1516
FormLWWLW
44%
56%
⚡ Cover lean · Stetsenko
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)