6 Jul · 08:50 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1421
FormLLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Mytsyk
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1456
FormWWLWL
46%
54%
🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (30)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+35
H2H8-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.