6 Jul · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1547
FormWLWLL
45%
55%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+42)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)