7 Jul · 04:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1441
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Abalmaz
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1590
FormWWLLL
35%
65%
🌟Hrynenko covers set handicap as underdog 64% (56)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+149
H2H31-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+149)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-29)