7 Jul · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Khamurda
ELO 1479
FormLLLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Derevynskyi
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1542
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Derevynskyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+63
H2H19-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)