6 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1501
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Novak
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1500
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Budnikov covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Novak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H19-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.