6 Jul · 23:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Smyrnov
MS
🇺🇦Mykyta Smyrnov
ELO 1482
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Shypilov covers set handicap as underdog 64% (44)
Fair odds · Smyrnov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H40-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)