7 Jul · 03:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (35)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H17-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-14)