7 Jul · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Napirko
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1485
FormLWWWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Napirko stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H26-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-25)