7 Jul · 01:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kovalchuk
NK
🇺🇦Nazar Kovalchuk
ELO 1526
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Kovalchuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (35)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H22-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-20)