7 Jul · 06:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1590
FormWWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Abalmaz
DD
🇺🇦Dmytro Derevynskyi
ELO 1542
FormLWLWW
55%
45%
🌟Derevynskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H24-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)