6 Jul · 11:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vasyliev
VV
🇺🇦Volodymyr Vasyliev
ELO 1457
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vasyliev
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.