6 Jul · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VC
🇺🇦Valentyn Chumak
ELO 1516
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chumak
VH
🇺🇦Volodymyr Hainiuk
ELO 1503
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Hainiuk covers set handicap as underdog 76% (21)
Fair odds · Chumak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H35-40
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.