6 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1573
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Emets
SY
🇺🇦Stefan Yakimenko
ELO 1520
FormLWWWL
56%
44%
🌟Yakimenko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (38)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+53)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)