6 Jul · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Nazarov
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1509
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Nazarov
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H34-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)