6 Jul · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IK
🇺🇦Ivan Kozachuk
ELO 1526
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kozachuk
DN
🇺🇦Dmytro Neborak
ELO 1481
FormLLWWW
55%
45%
🌟Kozachuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (25)
Fair odds · Kozachuk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)