7 Jul · 00:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AP
🇺🇦Andrii Peretiatko
ELO 1427
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Us
DU
🇺🇦Danylo Us
ELO 1460
FormWWLWL
47%
53%
🌟Us rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (16)
Fair odds · Us
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H14-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.