6 Jul · 17:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MF
🇺🇦Mykyta Fomin
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chumak
VC
🇺🇦Valentyn Chumak
ELO 1516
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
🌟Chumak goes over total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Chumak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+51)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)