6 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1573
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Emets
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1540
FormWLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 67% (42)
Fair odds · Emets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H12-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.