6 Jul · 22:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇺🇦Anton Shypilov
ELO 1433
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Lazebny
RL
🇺🇦Ruslan Lazebny
ELO 1497
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
🔥 Underdog lean · Shypilov🌟Lazebny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (46)
Fair odds · Lazebny
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H30-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-14)