6 Jul · 20:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1522
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kobets
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Khandetskyi
ELO 1504
FormWLLWW
52%
48%
🌟Khandetskyi stays under total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Kobets
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+18
H2H13-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.