6 Jul · 13:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RN
🇺🇦Ruslan Novak
ELO 1501
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ivasiv
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Ivasiv
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H34-49
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.