6 Jul · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
VM
🇺🇦Vladyslav Mishchenko
ELO 1505
FormLWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
36%
64%
🌟Mishchenko stays under total as underdog 62% (16)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H18-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-13)