7 Jul · 01:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SA
🇺🇦Spartak Abalmaz
ELO 1590
FormWWLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Abalmaz
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
64%
36%
🌟Naida stays under total as underdog 71% (24)
Fair odds · Abalmaz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H48-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (48-31)