6 Jul · 12:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Osadchyi
ELO 1491
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Osadchyi
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1421
FormLLWLW
57%
43%
🌟Osadchyi stays under total as favourite 63% (30)
Fair odds · Osadchyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+70
H2H9-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+70)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-5)