6 Jul · 19:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
YS
🇺🇦Yevhenii Sokoltsov
ELO 1454
FormWWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sokoltsov
PI
🇺🇦Pavlo Ishchyk
ELO 1415
FormLWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Ishchyk covers set handicap as underdog 67% (21)
Fair odds · Sokoltsov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.