6 Jul · 18:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
YR
🇺🇦Yehor Riadynskyi
ELO 1616
FormWWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Riadynskyi
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Strutinskiy
ELO 1509
FormLWLLL
61%
39%
🌟Strutinskiy rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (20)
Fair odds · Riadynskyi
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~76 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H47-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (47-32)