6 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Regush
ELO 1531
FormWWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Regush
VI
🇺🇦Volodymyr Ivasiv
ELO 1527
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Ivasiv stays under total as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Regush
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.