7 Jul · 03:25 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KH
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Hrynenko
ELO 1441
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Naida
ON
🇺🇦Oleksandr Naida
ELO 1456
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hrynenko🌟Naida rarely covers set handicap as favourite 26% (34)
Fair odds · Naida
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H47-55
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.