7 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1492
FormWLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tebenko
YT
🇺🇦Yaroslav Tebenko
ELO 1519
FormWLLWW
47%
53%
🌟Korobko stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Tebenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.