6 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AN
🇺🇦Anatolii Nazarov
ELO 1576
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Nazarov
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Nazarov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H24-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.