6 Jul · 20:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OS
🇺🇦Oleksii Shyndel
ELO 1571
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Shyndel
EB
🇺🇦Eldar Bektemirov
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Shyndel
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H9-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.