6 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇺🇦Anatolii Lievshin
ELO 1574
FormLWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lievshin
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kuzyshyn
ELO 1543
FormLLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Kuzyshyn covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Lievshin
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.