6 Jul · 17:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kolbasenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleksandr Kolbasenko
ELO 1640
FormLLLLL
32%
68%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Kolbasenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~71 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+172
H2H37-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-16)