7 Jul · 00:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Valerii Vlasenko
ELO 1400
FormWLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Napirko
ON
🇺🇦Oleh Napirko
ELO 1485
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vlasenko🌟Napirko stays under total as favourite 64% (22)
Fair odds · Napirko
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H64-54
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-54)