6 Jul · 12:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VV
🇺🇦Vladimir Voronenko
ELO 1468
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Marushchak
VM
🇺🇦Vitalii S Marushchak
ELO 1547
FormWLWLL
42%
58%
🌟Voronenko covers set handicap as underdog 75% (16)
Fair odds · Marushchak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+79
H2H40-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+79)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (40-24)