6 Jul · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1457
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kovalchuk
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1522
FormLLLWL
43%
57%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Kovalchuk
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H37-62
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)