6 Jul · 09:55 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Maslovskyi
ELO 1437
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chyzh
PC
🇺🇦Pavlo Chyzh
ELO 1441
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chyzh
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.