6 Jul · 06:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇺🇦Dmytro Shchegelskyi
ELO 1457
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Budnikov
OB
🇺🇦Oleksandr Budnikov
ELO 1500
FormWLWLW
45%
55%
🌟Shchegelskyi covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Budnikov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H14-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)