6 Jul · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VK
🇺🇦Vitalii Kobets
ELO 1522
FormWWWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bektemirov
EB
🇺🇦Eldar Bektemirov
ELO 1567
FormWWLLW
45%
55%
🌟Kobets covers set handicap as underdog 78% (18)
Fair odds · Bektemirov
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H11-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-9)