7 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Volodymyr Korobko
ELO 1492
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Parahailo
YP
🇺🇦Yurii Parahailo
ELO 1512
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Korobko stays under total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Parahailo
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H21-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.